Jose is barely hanging on as a hurricane, but we still have to keep an eye on it

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The storm's track forecast over the next few days can best be described as meandering in the Atlantic.

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(NOAA)

Yep, Hurricane Jose is still out there. While Irma was making landfall in Florida, Jose raked past the northern Leeward Islands — the same islands that were slammed by Irma — although it spared them the worst impacts.

Under normal circumstances, this would be the end of the story for Jose. But this is not a normal hurricane season. In the next week, Jose is going to linger in the Atlantic. There’s nothing — no cold front or dip in the jet stream — to push the storm east and away from the United States. Until that happens, it will linger out there between Bermuda and Florida, assuming it’s even able to maintain intensity.

Beyond that, the track of Hurricane Jose is extremely uncertain. At this point, we’re willing to say that it’s unlikely to impact the U.S. coast. But a few model runs are still hinting at the idea that Jose could begin to drift north and west sometime next week.

If that happens, the East Coast would be at risk.

jose-is-barely-hanging-on-as-a-hurricane-but-we-still-have-to-keep-an-eye-on-it photo 2

On Wednesday afternoon, Jose was just barely hanging on to hurricane status with 75-mph sustained winds. The storm’s track forecast over the next few days can best be described as meandering in the Atlantic.

Beyond that, the main influence on Jose’s track will be whether a ridge of high pressure develops in the Atlantic. If that ridge is strong enough and far enough west, it could push Jose toward the East Coast.

Unfortunately, the timing is at the end of what we’d consider a remotely reliable forecast. This is something we’re going to have to watch over the next five days.

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A group of simulations from the GFS weather model Wednesday morning. Each line represents a different simulation with slight tweaks to initial conditions. This gives us an approximation of the different possibilities in Hurricane Jose’s future track. (tropicaltidbits.com)

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    Article Jose is barely hanging on as a hurricane, but we still have to keep an eye on it compiled by Original article here

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